Arizona Coyotes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-29 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 62.5%

ARI: 37.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.84

ARI: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	15	14	1	93.3%	1.20	0	0.20
ARI	K. Vejmelka	46	46	0	100.0%	3.86	4	3.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs ARI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-25	WPG 4 - 3 ARI	WPG	WPG
2024-01-07	ARI 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 ARI	WPG	WPG
2023-11-04	ARI 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-03-21	WPG 2 - 1 ARI	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	1	0.92
1	ARI	13	0	0.68
2	WPG	17	3	1.51
2	ARI	8	0	0.38
3	WPG	23	0	1.43
3	ARI	5	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8