Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-11-30 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 55.3%

DET: 44.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.48

DET: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

BOS

L. Ullmark

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	16	14	2	87.5%	2.23	1	0.23
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	42	41	1	97.6%	4.14	1	3.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	0	0.89
1	DET	7	0	0.58
2	BOS	19	0	0.90
2	DET	8	0	0.36
3	BOS	23	1	2.36
3	DET	10	1	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1