San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-11-30 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.3%

SJS: 38.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.29

SJS: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

NJD

M. Blackwood

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	31	26	5	83.9%	3.25	1	-1.75
SJS	J. Reimer	34	32	2	94.1%	2.10	1	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs SJS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	SJS 5 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2025-10-24	NJD 3 - 1 SJS	NJD	NJD
2025-01-04	SJS 3 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2024-11-10	NJD 0 - 1 SJS	SJS	NJD
2024-02-27	SJS 2 - 7 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	0	0.51
1	SJS	14	0	0.78
2	NJD	11	1	0.85
2	SJS	17	0	1.51
3	NJD	18	0	0.74
3	SJS	8	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7