Arizona Coyotes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-30 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

MIN: 65.3%

ARI: 34.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.86

ARI: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	31	29	2	93.5%	2.72	1	0.72
ARI	S. Wedgewood	37	32	5	86.5%	2.81	2	-2.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs ARI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.44
1	ARI	17	1	1.58
2	MIN	17	1	1.44
2	ARI	15	0	0.65
3	MIN	14	1	0.94
3	ARI	12	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0