Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-30 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 56.0%

ANA: 44.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.12

ANA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

LAK

J. Quick

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	40	34	6	85.0%	5.77	4	-0.23
ANA	John Gibson	36	31	5	86.1%	3.69	2	-1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • LAK at home vs ANA: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	ANA
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	ANA
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	24	0	1.04
1	ANA	11	0	0.48
2	LAK	9	0	0.60
2	ANA	19	1	1.64
3	LAK	11	0	0.89
3	ANA	16	1	1.53
4	LAK	2	1	0.29
4	ANA	3	0	0.20
5	LAK	3	1	0.87
5	ANA	3	2	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0