Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-12-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

ANA: 51.4%

VGK: 48.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.42

VGK: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

ANA

A. Stolarz

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	39	34	5	87.2%	2.92	0	-2.08
VGK	R. Lehner	34	28	6	82.4%	4.03	1	-1.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs VGK: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	1.22
1	VGK	15	0	0.83
2	ANA	18	0	1.20
2	VGK	11	0	0.70
3	ANA	10	1	1.61
3	VGK	20	0	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.4 - 3.5