Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 66.9%

BUF: 33.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.49

BUF: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

BUF

A. Dell

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	27	4	87.1%	2.69	0	-1.31
BUF	A. Dell	45	38	7	84.4%	6.08	5	-0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • FLA at home vs BUF: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	FLA
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	1	1.13
1	BUF	8	0	0.65
2	FLA	23	2	2.14
2	BUF	12	0	0.69
3	FLA	14	2	2.81
3	BUF	20	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9