San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 62.3%

SJS: 37.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.19

SJS: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	35	33	2	94.3%	3.54	1	1.54
SJS	A. Hill	25	24	1	96.0%	1.96	1	0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	0	0.81
1	SJS	14	1	1.20
2	NYI	9	1	0.78
2	SJS	21	0	1.64
3	NYI	9	0	0.34
3	SJS	14	0	0.51
4	NYI	1	0	0.03
4	SJS	1	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5