Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 67.9%

OTT: 32.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.82

OTT: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	20	17	3	85.0%	3.40	4	0.40
OTT	Anton Forsberg	49	47	2	95.9%	5.64	4	3.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs OTT: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	29	2	2.47
1	OTT	10	0	0.70
2	CAR	17	0	1.49
2	OTT	14	2	0.88
3	CAR	19	2	1.68
3	OTT	12	2	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9