Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

DAL: 56.6%

CBJ: 43.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.64

CBJ: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	22	20	2	90.9%	1.89	1	-0.11
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	37	34	3	91.9%	3.75	2	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DAL at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	CBJ 1 - 0 DAL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-21	DAL 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-25	CBJ 6 - 4 DAL	CBJ	DAL
2025-02-02	DAL 5 - 3 CBJ	DAL	DAL
2023-11-09	CBJ 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	10	0	0.47
1	CBJ	15	1	1.00
2	DAL	23	0	1.76
2	CBJ	9	0	0.36
3	DAL	15	2	1.52
3	CBJ	11	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8