New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

MIN: 56.4%

NJD: 43.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.40

NJD: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	31	29	2	93.5%	2.07	0	0.07
NJD	M. Blackwood	38	33	5	86.8%	4.48	3	-0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	1.26
1	NJD	14	0	0.74
2	MIN	19	2	1.66
2	NJD	13	0	0.72
3	MIN	20	1	1.56
3	NJD	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9