San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-12-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NYR: 51.9%

SJS: 48.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.57

SJS: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	28	0	100.0%	2.79	3	2.79
SJS	A. Hill	27	26	1	96.3%	2.79	1	1.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	1	1.16
1	SJS	18	1	1.30
2	NYR	11	0	0.78
2	SJS	9	0	0.50
3	NYR	13	0	0.84
3	SJS	16	2	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3