St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-12-04 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues (SO)

Win Probability

FLA: 56.7%

STL: 43.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.32

STL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	23	4	85.2%	2.90	3	-1.10
STL	V. Husso	54	49	5	90.7%	7.10	7	2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	FLA
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	26	1	1.43
1	STL	11	1	0.81
2	FLA	22	1	1.58
2	STL	9	1	0.73
3	FLA	21	2	1.87
3	STL	6	0	0.25
4	FLA	3	1	0.51
4	STL	1	0	0.01
5	FLA	3	2	1.72
5	STL	3	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1