Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-12-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

NYR: 52.7%

CHI: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.07

CHI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYR

A. Georgiev

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	27	25	2	92.6%	2.34	1	0.34
CHI	K. Lankinen	31	28	3	90.3%	2.36	2	-0.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	6	0	0.33
1	CHI	10	0	0.56
2	NYR	15	1	0.86
2	CHI	10	1	1.12
3	NYR	18	1	1.16
3	CHI	15	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1