Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-12-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CAR: 63.4%

BUF: 36.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.51

BUF: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

CAR

A. Raanta

BUF

M. Subban

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	34	32	2	94.1%	3.76	6	1.76
BUF	M. Subban	29	23	6	79.3%	3.20	5	-2.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BUF: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	1.04
1	BUF	13	0	0.53
2	CAR	9	1	0.75
2	BUF	18	4	1.66
3	CAR	12	3	1.41
3	BUF	17	2	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.5