Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-12-04 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

NSH: 51.8%

MTL: 48.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.28

MTL: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	20	3	87.0%	2.17	0	-0.83
MTL	J. Allen	44	40	4	90.9%	4.30	0	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NSH	16	1.02
1	MTL	11	0.62
2	NSH	17	1.38
2	MTL	16	0.78
3	NSH	23	1.55
3	MTL	4	0.46
4	NSH	3	0.35
4	MTL	6	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1