Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2021-12-06 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

WSH: 50.7%

ANA: 49.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.98

ANA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

WSH

I. Samsonov

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	I. Samsonov	38	33	5	86.8%	3.99	2	-1.01
ANA	John Gibson	34	28	6	82.4%	5.77	5	-0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	WSH
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	18	2	1.54
1	ANA	13	0	0.68
2	WSH	15	0	0.87
2	ANA	15	0	1.10
3	WSH	15	0	0.47
3	ANA	13	0	0.39
4	WSH	0	0	0.00
4	ANA	1	0	0.10
5	WSH	5	3	2.89
5	ANA	5	2	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0