Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 51.4%

PIT: 48.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.17

PIT: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	25	6	80.6%	2.88	1	-3.12
PIT	C. DeSmith	29	28	1	96.6%	1.95	2	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	SEA
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.30
1	PIT	10	0	0.68
2	SEA	14	2	1.21
2	PIT	16	1	1.15
3	SEA	11	0	0.44
3	PIT	14	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9