Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

BUF: 48.8%

ANA: 51.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.77

ANA: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	23	21	2	91.3%	1.14	1	-0.86
ANA	A. Stolarz	25	25	0	100.0%	2.42	0	2.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • BUF at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	8	0	0.13
1	ANA	10	0	0.31
2	BUF	9	0	0.56
2	ANA	12	1	0.47
3	BUF	25	0	1.73
3	ANA	11	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5