Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

DET: 45.4%

NSH: 54.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.95

NSH: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	33	28	5	84.8%	3.82	7	-1.18
NSH	D. Rittich	16	14	2	87.5%	1.60	1	-0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	NSH 2 - 4 DET	DET	NSH
2025-11-26	DET 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	DET
2024-10-19	NSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	NSH
2024-10-12	DET 3 - 0 NSH	DET	NSH
2024-03-23	NSH 1 - 0 DET	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	7	0	0.45
1	NSH	13	2	1.50
2	DET	9	1	0.64
2	NSH	17	3	1.28
3	DET	8	0	0.51
3	NSH	11	2	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4