Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.3%

CAR: 49.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.20

CAR: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	34	30	4	88.2%	4.51	4	0.51
CAR	Frederik Andersen	18	16	2	88.9%	1.41	0	-0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	7	0	0.39
1	CAR	20	0	1.45
2	WPG	9	0	0.47
2	CAR	17	2	1.52
3	WPG	7	0	0.55
3	CAR	8	2	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3