Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2021-12-07 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 41.1%
MIN: 58.9%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.85
MIN: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
M. Koskinen
MIN
C. Talbot
| Stat | EDM | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | M. Koskinen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 84.6% | 2.74 | 2 | -1.26 |
| MIN | C. Talbot | 39 | 38 | 1 | 97.4% | 4.03 | 0 | 3.03 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs MIN: 2-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3 - 7 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-20 | MIN 5 - 2 EDM | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-01-15 | MIN 3 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-12 | MIN 1 - 7 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 1 | MIN | 12 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | EDM | 27 | 0 | 1.88 |
| 2 | MIN | 8 | 1 | 0.71 |
| 3 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 3 | MIN | 13 | 1 | 1.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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