Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SJS: 59.0%

CGY: 41.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.20

CGY: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

A. Hill

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	43	40	3	93.0%	3.86	2	0.86
CGY	Dan Vladar	27	22	5	81.5%	2.99	2	-2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • SJS at home vs CGY: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.55
1	CGY	19	0	0.89
2	SJS	15	1	1.25
2	CGY	24	1	1.77
3	SJS	7	1	1.19
3	CGY	17	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5