Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-12-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NYR: 49.6%

COL: 50.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.75

COL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYR

A. Huska

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Huska	39	32	7	82.1%	3.62	2	-3.38
COL	D. Kuemper	30	27	3	90.0%	3.65	2	0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYR at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	0.93
1	COL	20	1	0.96
2	NYR	17	1	1.58
2	COL	20	0	1.80
3	NYR	13	0	1.13
3	COL	10	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2