Nashville Predators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

NYI: 42.4%

NSH: 57.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.66

NSH: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	29	25	4	86.2%	2.18	0	-1.82
NSH	D. Rittich	21	18	3	85.7%	2.65	2	-0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH
2024-04-06	NYI 2 - 0 NSH	NYI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	9	1	0.62
1	NSH	14	0	0.65
2	NYI	11	0	1.13
2	NSH	12	0	0.73
3	NYI	9	1	0.90
3	NSH	14	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3