Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

LAK: 65.7%

DAL: 34.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.30

DAL: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

LAK

J. Quick

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	27	27	0	100.0%	2.60	1	2.60
DAL	Jake Oettinger	41	37	4	90.2%	4.61	4	0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs DAL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	25	0	1.30
1	DAL	11	1	0.87
2	LAK	16	1	1.23
2	DAL	20	0	0.96
3	LAK	16	3	2.08
3	DAL	12	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9