Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 52.6%

WPG: 47.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.21

WPG: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	33	30	3	90.9%	2.61	0	-0.39
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	25	25	0	100.0%	2.41	0	2.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs WPG: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	11	0.64
1	WPG	15	0.84
2	SEA	15	1.01
2	WPG	19	0.47
3	SEA	14	0.76
3	WPG	17	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1