Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-12-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.6%

NSH: 38.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.08

NSH: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NJD

M. Blackwood

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	27	24	3	88.9%	3.03	0	0.03
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	29	2	93.5%	3.39	0	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • NJD at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NSH 2 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-01-29	NJD 3 - 2 NSH	NJD	NSH
2025-02-23	NSH 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NSH
2024-11-25	NJD 5 - 2 NSH	NJD	NJD
2024-04-07	NJD 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	17	0.75
1	NSH	8	0.77
2	NJD	11	0.90
2	NSH	26	1.92
3	NJD	21	1.74
3	NSH	8	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0