Florida Panthers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-12-10 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

ARI: 35.7%

FLA: 64.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.32

FLA: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	23	20	3	87.0%	1.87	0	-1.13
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	22	1	95.7%	2.21	0	1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-24	FLA 6 - 2 ARI	FLA	FLA
2024-01-02	ARI 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	ARI
2023-01-03	FLA 5 - 3 ARI	FLA	FLA
2022-11-01	ARI 3 - 1 FLA	ARI	FLA
2021-12-10	ARI 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ARI	15	0.85
1	FLA	13	0.57
2	ARI	10	0.70
2	FLA	15	0.81
3	ARI	9	0.67
3	FLA	7	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.3 - 3.8