Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-12-10 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (SO)

Win Probability

VAN: 65.6%

WPG: 34.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.03

WPG: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	39	36	3	92.3%	4.07	1	1.07
WPG	Eric Comrie	38	34	4	89.5%	5.09	4	1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VAN at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	1	0.97
1	WPG	18	1	1.48
2	VAN	13	2	1.62
2	WPG	15	0	1.20
3	VAN	14	0	1.00
3	WPG	10	0	0.44
4	VAN	5	0	0.65
4	WPG	7	0	0.72
5	VAN	3	1	0.85
5	WPG	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8