Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-12-11 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

EDM: 43.4%

CAR: 56.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.77

CAR: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

EDM

M. Koskinen

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	31	28	3	90.3%	3.61	2	0.61
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	22	1	95.7%	3.22	0	2.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	0	0.90
1	CAR	15	0	0.93
2	EDM	8	0	0.55
2	CAR	20	2	2.14
3	EDM	16	0	1.76
3	CAR	11	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2