Columbus Blue Jackets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 60.5%

CBJ: 39.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.15

CBJ: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	23	5	82.1%	2.60	1	-2.40
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	32	28	4	87.5%	2.93	1	-1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	0	0.73
1	CBJ	12	1	0.89
2	SEA	15	0	1.03
2	CBJ	17	0	1.18
3	SEA	12	1	1.01
3	CBJ	13	0	0.44
4	SEA	1	0	0.15
4	CBJ	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6