Nashville Predators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-12-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

NYR: 46.2%

NSH: 53.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.20

NSH: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYR

A. Georgiev

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	24	23	1	95.8%	1.86	0	0.86
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	32	0	100.0%	2.39	0	2.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	9	0.57
1	NSH	16	1.04
2	NYR	13	1.12
2	NSH	7	0.40
3	NYR	18	0.70
3	NSH	6	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9