Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-12-12 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VAN: 72.2%

CAR: 27.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.23

CAR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	29	28	1	96.6%	2.77	0	1.77
CAR	A. Raanta	26	24	2	92.3%	2.37	1	0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.63
1	CAR	12	0	0.75
2	VAN	15	0	0.80
2	CAR	16	0	0.91
3	VAN	11	1	0.95
3	CAR	13	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8