New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

DET: 53.0%

NYI: 47.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.35

NYI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 56%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	34	33	1	97.1%	3.69	3	2.69
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	39	37	2	94.9%	3.44	2	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs NYI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	DET
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	17	0	1.22
1	NYI	11	1	1.09
2	DET	23	2	1.79
2	NYI	14	1	1.03
3	DET	9	0	0.43
3	NYI	19	1	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2