Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 8 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 69.4%

OTT: 30.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.58

OTT: 2.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 46%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	38	30	8	78.9%	3.78	2	-4.22
OTT	Anton Forsberg	35	33	2	94.3%	3.62	3	1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • FLA at home vs OTT: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	FLA
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	1	0.95
1	OTT	15	0	1.00
2	FLA	19	1	1.35
2	OTT	10	1	1.22
3	FLA	16	1	1.32
3	OTT	18	1	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 8 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.6 - 2.1