New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PHI: 50.3%

NJD: 49.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.94

NJD: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

PHI

C. Hart

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	27	26	1	96.3%	2.24	1	1.24
NJD	M. Blackwood	30	24	6	80.0%	2.61	2	-3.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs NJD: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	20	1	1.10
1	NJD	10	0	0.30
2	PHI	12	0	0.80
2	NJD	13	1	1.03
3	PHI	12	1	0.71
3	NJD	14	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2