Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-04-19 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Calgary Flames (SO)

Win Probability

NSH: 56.1%

CGY: 43.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.16

CGY: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	22	2	91.7%	2.40	1	0.40
CGY	Dan Vladar	29	26	3	89.7%	3.80	2	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NSH at home vs CGY: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.70
1	CGY	8	0	0.47
2	NSH	13	0	0.79
2	CGY	9	1	0.85
3	NSH	13	1	0.81
3	CGY	9	0	0.59
4	NSH	5	0	0.46
4	CGY	2	0	0.31
5	NSH	3	1	1.03
5	CGY	3	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3