Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-02-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 47.0%

CAR: 53.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.12

CAR: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

MIN

C. Talbot

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	39	37	2	94.9%	1.86	0	-0.14
CAR	Frederik Andersen	27	24	3	88.9%	3.47	3	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs CAR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	MIN
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	2	1.34
1	CAR	9	0	0.25
2	MIN	11	0	0.64
2	CAR	19	0	0.67
3	MIN	15	1	1.50
3	CAR	16	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4