New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

COL: 64.6%

NYR: 35.4%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.61

NYR: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

COL

D. Kuemper

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	28	26	2	92.9%	2.95	0	0.95
NYR	A. Georgiev	31	27	4	87.1%	3.40	1	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • COL at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	1	1.32
1	NYR	13	0	0.58
2	COL	11	0	0.95
2	NYR	15	0	1.14
3	COL	14	0	1.13
3	NYR	17	0	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8