Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-12-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)

Win Probability

CHI: 50.0%

WSH: 50.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.03

WSH: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

CHI

M. Fleury

WSH

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	46	42	4	91.3%	3.76	0	-0.24
WSH	I. Samsonov	28	23	5	82.1%	2.41	0	-2.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	CHI 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-03	WSH 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	WSH
2025-04-04	WSH 5 - 3 CHI	WSH	WSH
2024-12-17	CHI 3 - 2 WSH	CHI	CHI
2024-03-09	WSH 4 - 1 CHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CHI	6	0.31
1	WSH	15	1.15
2	CHI	17	1.13
2	WSH	23	1.47
3	CHI	12	0.89
3	WSH	16	1.09
4	CHI	2	0.08
4	WSH	1	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4