New York Rangers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-12-15 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 72.1%

NYR: 27.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.31

NYR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

NYR

K. Kinkaid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	30	27	3	90.0%	2.28	1	-0.72
NYR	K. Kinkaid	31	29	2	93.5%	2.54	0	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs NYR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-30	ARI 5 - 8 NYR	NYR	ARI
2023-10-16	NYR 2 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-11-13	NYR 4 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-10-30	ARI 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2022-01-22	NYR 7 - 3 ARI	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	14	0	1.15
1	NYR	13	0	0.40
2	ARI	12	0	0.47
2	NYR	18	0	1.07
3	ARI	16	0	0.92
3	NYR	9	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0