Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2021-12-15 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 63.4%
SEA: 36.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.05
SEA: 1.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
A. Stolarz
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
| Stat | ANA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.920 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | A. Stolarz | 20 | 19 | 1 | 95.0% | 1.46 | 0 | 0.46 |
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 24 | 20 | 4 | 83.3% | 2.16 | 1 | -1.84 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • ANA at home vs SEA: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | ANA 4 - 2 SEA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-23 | SEA 2 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-22 | ANA 1 - 3 SEA | SEA | ANA |
| 2025-10-09 | SEA 3 - 1 ANA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-28 | SEA 4 - 6 ANA | ANA | ANA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 1 | SEA | 9 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 2 | ANA | 10 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 2 | SEA | 15 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 3 | ANA | 10 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | SEA | 5 | 0 | 0.35 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.1 - 1.9
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