Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-12-16 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 55.2%

LAK: 44.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.19

LAK: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	27	4	87.1%	1.98	0	-2.02
LAK	J. Quick	42	41	1	97.6%	3.42	0	2.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-11-06	LAK 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-01-29	FLA 3 - 0 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-22	LAK 2 - 1 FLA	LAK	LAK
2024-01-11	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	18	1.25
1	LAK	16	0.59
2	FLA	18	1.24
2	LAK	13	0.95
3	FLA	15	0.94
3	LAK	11	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3