Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-12-16 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CAR: 62.3%

DET: 37.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.69

DET: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	26	23	3	88.5%	3.54	2	0.54
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	33	28	5	84.8%	4.61	2	-0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs DET: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.36
1	DET	18	0	1.08
2	CAR	12	0	0.55
2	DET	16	1	1.41
3	CAR	14	2	2.69
3	DET	10	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2