Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-16 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 51.6%

VAN: 48.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.99

VAN: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

SJS

A. Hill

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	30	25	5	83.3%	2.91	2	-2.09
VAN	Thatcher Demko	36	34	2	94.4%	2.49	1	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	0	0.73
1	VAN	13	0	0.77
2	SJS	15	1	0.97
2	VAN	6	0	0.39
3	SJS	12	0	0.79
3	VAN	20	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9