Arizona Coyotes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-12-17 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 59.0%

ARI: 41.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.55

ARI: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	27	21	6	77.8%	3.31	0	-2.69
ARI	S. Wedgewood	37	32	5	86.5%	3.31	1	-1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.80
1	ARI	7	0	0.62
2	ANA	6	1	0.85
2	ARI	16	0	1.67
3	ANA	25	0	1.45
3	ARI	10	0	0.68
4	ANA	2	0	0.20
4	ARI	3	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 2.5 - 3.0