Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-18 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 55.4%

EDM: 44.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.18

EDM: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

SEA

C. Driedger

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	41	36	5	87.8%	3.90	3	-1.10
EDM	Stuart Skinner	17	14	3	82.4%	1.54	0	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SEA at home vs EDM: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.68
1	EDM	25	1	1.36
2	SEA	10	0	0.65
2	EDM	11	0	0.57
3	SEA	4	0	0.21
3	EDM	19	2	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1