Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-02-19 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)

Win Probability

OTT: 43.3%

BOS: 56.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.36

BOS: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	33	30	3	90.9%	2.73	0	-0.27
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	31	29	2	93.5%	2.59	0	0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • OTT at home vs BOS: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	OTT	15	0.90
1	BOS	14	0.70
2	OTT	15	0.85
2	BOS	17	1.20
3	OTT	13	0.73
3	BOS	11	0.72
4	OTT	1	0.11
4	BOS	2	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2