Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-12-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NJD: 37.8%

PIT: 62.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.80

PIT: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

J. Gillies

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Gillies	22	19	3	86.4%	2.16	2	-0.84
PIT	Tristan Jarry	19	17	2	89.5%	2.49	3	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NJD at home vs PIT: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	1	0.72
1	PIT	9	1	0.87
2	NJD	8	2	1.04
2	PIT	10	0	0.58
3	NJD	8	0	0.73
3	PIT	14	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4